The Impact of Cyclone ‘Biparjoy’ on the Monsoon: Insights from IMD
Written by Sanjay Kumar
Despite hindering the onset of the monsoon in Kerala in recent days, the very severe cyclonic storm ‘Biparjoy‘ is unlikely to have a significant impact on the monsoon’s arrival in India. As the storm continues along its path, it is expected to pass between Mandvi in Gujarat and Karachi in Pakistan, near Jakhau Port, on Thursday evening, June 15th.
Rather than impeding the monsoon’s progress, the cyclone has actually aided its advancement across the southern regions of the peninsula. By intensifying the cross-equatorial flow over the Arabian Sea, the storm has helped the monsoon progress. However, the cyclone has now completely separated from the monsoonal flow, resulting in no significant influence on the monsoon’s progress or performance.
According to meteorologists, the cyclone is anticipated to reach maximum sustained wind speeds of 125-135 kmph, with gusts reaching up to 150 kmph. As a result, several states are expected to experience heavy rainfall and strong winds. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted prolonged rainfall along the coastal areas of Gujarat from June 14 to 16. Additionally, from June 16 to 18, there is a possibility of very heavy rains occurring near the border between Gujarat and Rajasthan.
The India Meteorological Department bulletin stated that the very severe cyclonic storm Biparjoy is highly likely to make landfall tomorrow evening between Mandvi (Gujarat) and Karachi (Pakistan), near Jakhau Port (Gujarat). It is projected to reach maximum sustained wind speeds of 125-135 kmph, with gusts of up to 150 kmph. As a result of the cyclone’s influence, coastal areas of Gujarat are expected to experience prolonged rainfall from June 14 to 16, while the border region between Gujarat and Rajasthan may witness very heavy rains from June 16 to 18.
Here are the latest updates on Cyclone Biparjoy:
- In preparation for the powerful cyclone, authorities in Gujarat have relocated 37,800 individuals from coastal areas to temporary shelters. The cyclone is expected to make landfall near Jakhau Port in the Kutch district tomorrow evening.
- The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a red alert for Saurashtra and Kutch. Numerous National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) and State Disaster Response Force (SDRF) teams are on standby. The army is also ready to provide assistance in relief efforts and has deployed flood relief columns at strategic locations. Coordination between the army, civil administration, and NDRF has been established.
- Union Home Minister Amit Shah conducted a virtual meeting with Gujarat Chief Minister Bhupendra Patel and other senior officials to assess the state’s preparedness for the cyclone. Mr. Shah urged the state government to relocate people residing in vulnerable areas to safer locations. He also emphasized the need to ensure the availability of essential services such as electricity, telecommunications, healthcare, and drinking water in these areas.
- Alok Kumar Pandey, the State Commissioner of Relief, stated that evacuations of coastal residents who are likely to be most affected during the landfall have already begun. District administrations have relocated approximately 30,000 people to temporary shelters.
- The IMD has issued a warning of extremely heavy rainfall accompanied by strong winds in coastal areas of the Saurashtra-Kutch region. This warning particularly applies to the districts of Kutch, Porbandar, and Devbhumi Dwarka.
- In anticipation of the cyclone, 17 NDRF and 12 SDRF teams have been placed on standby in the affected districts of Devbhumi Dwarka, Rajkot, Jamnagar, Junagadh, Porbandar, Gir Somnath, Morbi, and Valsad.
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